Similarities between long COVID and cognitive impairment and potential implications; Results from the 2022 BRFSS (preprint)

BackgroundCOVID has been linked to cognitive issues with brain fog a common complaint among adults reporting long COVID (symptoms lasting 3 or more months). ObjectiveTo study similarities and differences between cognitive impairment (CI) (the cognitive disability measure) and long COVID. MethodsUsing 2022 BRFSS data from 50 states and 169,894 respondents in 29 states with COVID vaccine data, respondents with CI and long COVID were compared in unadjusted analysis and logistic regression. Apparent vaccine effectiveness was compared in the 29 states. ResultsPrevalence of long COVID was 7.4% (95% CI 7.3-7.6) and CI was 13.4% (13.2-13.6) with both rates higher among women, ages 18-64 years, Hispanics, American Indians, ever smokers, those with depression, e-cigarette users, and those with more of the co-morbidities of diabetes, asthma, COPD, and obesity. The strong association between long COVID and CI was confirmed. Apparent vaccine effectiveness of 3 or more doses vs <3 was 38% for long COVID and 35% for CI, in both cases reducing rates for 3 or more doses to those comparable to adults with 0 comorbidities and showing dose response gradients. For CI, apparent vaccine effectiveness was similar for respondents with or without long COVID. Logistic regression confirmed most results except the magnitude of vaccine effectiveness on CI was reduced in some models while vaccine effectiveness for long COVID was confirmed. ConclusionsMore research is needed to understand the apparent effectiveness of COVID vaccines on CI but, if confirmed, results could expand the list of non-infectious outcomes for which mRNA vaccines can be effective.

Unveiling the Lockdown Effects: Exploring Behavior, Dietary Habits and Weight Changes in Rural Egypt during COVID-19 Lockdown: A Cross-Sectional Retrospective Study (preprint)

Background: The COVID-19 lockdown significantly impacted dietary habits and body weights globally, particularly in Egypt, where 57.03% of the population resides in rural areas, despite lack of information. The study examines the impact of COVID-19 lockdown on the weight changes of the rural Egyptian population through behavioral, physical, and dietary changes. Methods: A cross-sectional online survey using Microsoft Forms was distributed in Delta regions in Egypt. The questionnaire used a modified version of the validated 14- items PREDIMED MedDiet Adherence Screener (MEDAS). The first part of the questionnaire addressed sociodemographic variables whereas the second one included questions related to dietary, behavioral and weight changes of participants. These changes were statistically tested for significance in relation to BMI, gender, home living, current job and family history of obesity. Results: A total of 306 participated in the study (70% females, 13% obese, 95% living with family, 56% university students, and 36% with family history of obesity). Obese showed a significant increase in sweet intake whereas underweight and normal weight people displayed a significant decrease in eating desire. Both females and males showed significant increase in consumption of fruits and vegetables with significant decrease in soft drink. However, women showed a significant decrease in sport activity relative to men. Participants living with family showed an increase in sweet intake while those living alone explored an increase in meal frequency. Employers revealed a significant decrease in sport activities and people with family history of obesity reported more sleeping times than those without family history of obesity. Conclusion: During Covid-19 quarantine, Egyptians' eating habits improved, but daily routines were disrupted. Raising awareness about obesity and providing guidance on maintaining activity, energy, and mood is crucial for future quarantine situations.

Metabolic Disease and The Risk of Post-COVID Conditions: A Retrospective Cohort Study (preprint)

Objective: To examine the influence of having a baseline metabolic disorder (diabetes, hypertension, and/or obesity) on the risk of developing new clinical sequelae potentially related to SARS-CoV-2 in a large sample of commercially insured adults in the US. Design, setting, and participants Deidentified data were collected from the IBM/Watson MarketScan Commercial Claims and Encounters (CCAE) Databases and Medicare Supplemental and Coordination of Benefits (MDCR) Databases from 2019 to 2021. A total of 839,344 adults aged 18 and above with continuous enrollment in the health plan were included in the analyses. Participants were grouped into four categories based on their COVID-19 diagnosis and whether they had at least one of the three common metabolic disorders at baseline (diabetes, obesity, or hypertension). Measures and methods ICD-10-CM codes were used to determine new symptoms and conditions after the acute phase of SARS-CoV-2 infection, defined as ending 21 days after initial diagnosis date, or index period for those who did not have a COVID-19 diagnosis. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to create comparable reference groups. Cox proportional hazard models were conducted to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals. Results Among the 772,377 individuals included in the analyses, 36,742 (4.8%) without and 20,912 (2.7%) with a baseline metabolic disorder were diagnosed with COVID-19. On average, COVID-19 patients with baseline metabolic disorders had more 2.4 more baseline comorbidities compared to those without baseline metabolic disorders. Compared to adults with no baseline metabolic condition, the risks of developing new clinical sequelae were highest among COVID-19 patients with a baseline metabolic condition (HRs ranging from 1.51 to 3.33), followed by those who had a baseline metabolic condition but with no COVID-19 infection (HRs ranging from 1.33 to 2.35), and those who had COVID-19 but no baseline metabolic condition (HRs ranging from 1.34 to 2.85). Conclusions In a large national cohort of commercially insured adults, COVID-19 patients with a baseline metabolic condition had the highest risk of developing new clinical sequelae post-acute infection phase, followed by those who had baseline metabolic condition but no COVID-19 infection and those who had COVID-19 but no baseline metabolic disorder.

The Impact of eHealth Technologies on the Management Process of the Surgical Treatment of Obesity during the COVID-19 Pandemic (preprint)

(1) Introduction: The COVID-19 pandemic presented unique challenges for patients and healthcare providers, especially for those working with obesity and related health problems. E-health has emerged as a crucial tool for the follow-up of users undergoing bariatric surgery during this period, allowing remote monitoring of users' health status and providing access to virtual consultation with health professionals. This study aims to analyze the impact of the use of telemedicine during the COVID-19 pandemic on the results of bariatric surgery and user satisfac-tion with this follow-up. (2) Method: Observational study with retrospective data collection. The variables were divided into several groups: health data, associated comorbidities, quality of life, quality of sleep and satisfaction with telemedicine monitoring. (3) Results: Surgery significantly affected weight loss, in general more than 75% loss of excess weight. Comorbidities, like the qual-ity of life, were reversed over time, with 50% of subjects maintaining excellent levels. Although most users were satisfied with the monitoring, the variables had no relationship. (4) Conclusions: The follow-up assured by telemedicine did not alter the results of bariatric surgery, which may allow us to infer that it may be an option to consider for regular monitoring of the post-bariatric surgery process.

Seroprevalence and risk factors for SARS-CoV-2 infection in middle-sized cities of Burkina Faso: A descriptive cross-sectional study (preprint)

Background: Since March 2020, COVID-19 has evolved from a localized outbreak to a global pandemic. We assessed the seroprevalence of COVID-19 in three towns in the Centre Sud region of Burkina Faso. Methods: A population-based cross-sectional survey was conducted in three medium-sized towns in Burkina Faso's Centre Sud region, from June to July 2021. Subjects aged 16 or over at the time of the survey were considered for this seroprevalence study. The Biosynex COVID-19 BSS rapid test was used to detect immunoglobulin G (IgG) and immunoglobulin M (IgM) against SARS-CoV-2. A standardized questionnaire was also administered to collect additional information. Results: A total of 2449 eligible participants (age ≥ 16 years) were identified. Serological tests for COVID-19 were performed in 2155 individuals. Finally, 2143 valid tests were retained and analyzed. Out of the entire sample, 246 positive tests were observed, corresponding to a prevalence of 11.48%. Prevalence was 9.35% (58 cases) in Kombissiri, 12.86% (80 cases) in Manga and 11.99% (108 cases) in Po. By gender, 13.37% of women (164 cases) tested positive, and 8.95% of men (82 cases). Women accounted for 66.67% of all positive test subjects. The results show a significantly higher seroprevalence in women (P = 0.007), people over 55 years old (P = 0.004), overweight or obese people (P =0.026) and those with drinking water sources at home (0.013). Conclusions: The results of this study show that the COVID-19 virus also circulates in the population of medium- sized towns in Burkina Faso, far more than is officially reported in the country. The study also highlighted the greater vulnerability of women to the epidemic, and the challenge of access to water in the face of diseases such as COVID-19. The preventive measures put in place to fight the pandemic must take these different factors into account.

Clinical phenotypes and outcomes associated with SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant JN.1 in critically ill COVID-19 patients: a prospective, multicenter cohort study (preprint)

A notable increase in severe cases of COVID-19, with significant hospitalizations due to the emergence and spread of JN.1 was observed worldwide in late 2023 and early 2024. During the study period (November 2022-January 2024), 56 JN.1- and 126 XBB-infected patients were prospectively enrolled in 40 French intensive care units. JN.1-infected patients were more likely to be obese (35.7% vs 20.8%; p=0.033) and less frequently immunosuppressed than others (20.4% vs 41.4%; p=0.010). JN.1-infected patients required invasive mechanical ventilation support in 29.1%, 87.5% of them received dexamethasone, 14.5% tocilizumab and none received monoclonal antibodies. Day-28 mortality of JN.1-infected patients was 14.6%.

Prognostic value of SOFA combined with chest CT severity score in patients with critical COVID-19 pneumonia: a retrospective study (preprint)

Background: Either sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score or chest CT severity score (CT-SS) is often used alone to evaluate the prognosis of patients with critical coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), but each of them has intrinsic deficiency. Herein, we attempted to investigate the predictive value of the combination of SOFA and CT-SS for the prognosis of COVID-19. Materials and Methods: A single-center retrospective study was performed in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine from December 2022 to January 2023. Patients with critical COVID-19 pneumonia were divided into two groups of survival or non-survival of hospitalization. The data including clinical characteristics, CT-SS, SOFA score, laboratory results on admission day were collected and analyzed. In addition, the predictive value of SOFAscore, chest CT-SS, or their combination for in-hospital mortality of COVID-19 pneumonia were compared by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results: A total of 424 patients with a mean age of 75.46 years and a major proportion of male (69.10%) were finally enrolled, and the total in-hospital mortality was 43.40% (184/424). In comparison with survival group, significant higher proportions of older age (>75 years), comorbidities including obesity, diabetes, and cerebrovascular disease, more needs of mechanical ventilation and continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) were observed in the non-survival group (all P﹤0.05). In addition, non-survival patients had a higher value of creatinine, procalcitonin, C-reactive protein, interleukin-6 , SOFA score , CT-SS  (all P﹤0.05) on admission day. Multivariate logistic regression analysis further showed that older age, obesity, diabetes, SOFA score, CT-SS, mechanical ventilation, and lymphocytopenia (all P﹤0.05) were independently related with in-hospital mortality. Moreover, the area under the curve (AUC) of combination of SOFA score and chest CT-SS became significant higher than their respective alone (P＜0.01). Conclusion: A simple combination of SOFA scorewith chest CT-SS on admission elicits a better predictive value for in-hospital mortality of critical COVID-19 patients, which could also serve as a promising indicator for prognosis prediction of other severe lung diseases like severe pneumonia and acute lung injury.

Long-term Effects of the COVID-19 Lockdown on Weight Status, Eating Habits, and Lifestyle Changes Related to School-aged Children in Bandar Abbas, Iran (preprint)

Background During the COVID-19 pandemic, school closures caused destructive changes in student weight status, eating habits, screen exposure, sleep patterns, psychological responses, and activity behaviors. Despite the end of the lockdown and reopening of schools, the long-term effects of quarantine on the lifestyle and weight status of children and adolescents remain unknown. On the other hand, there is a chance that these negative changes become more prominent during extended school holidays such as summer breaks. This study aimed to determine the long-term effects of the lockdown on the weight status and lifestyle of children and adolescents after the eighth wave of the disease in Iran.Method This descriptive cross-sectional study was conducted from April to May 2022. The target population comprises one hundred students aged between 10 and 16 years. Our study obtained students' weight and height data from records maintained by school principals or sports teachers before and after the quarantine period. The BMI z score (zBMI) was calculated for each time point. The researchers also provided a questionnaire to collect the students’ demographic and lifestyle status changes during school closures.Results We found that the zBMI increased significantly from − 0.02 ± 1.64 to 0.36 ± 1.12, and the statistics of the overweight and obese population increased by 3% during quarantine (P ≤ 0.05). These changes were more pronounced in males and students aged 14–16 years. We also found that eating habits, sleep time, sleep patterns, screen time, and physical activity had significant negative changes during quarantine, and a significant increase in zBMI was observed among students who experienced negative eating behaviors, altered sleep patterns, and decreased physical activity during school closures. Conclusion: As prolonged school closures due to the COVID-19 lockdown aggravated students’ health and lifestyle status, our findings can aid in proper planning to establish an appropriate framework for the diet, physical activity, and sleep quality of students during extended school closures.

Long-term dynamics of natural, vaccine-induced, and hybrid immunity to SARS-CoV-2 in a university hospital in Colombia: A cohort study (preprint)

This prospective cohort study aimed to estimate the natural, vaccine-induced, and hybrid immunity to SARS-CoV-2, alongside the immunogenicity of the mRNA-1273 booster after the BNT162b2 primary series in healthcare workers in Colombia. IgG, IgA, and neutralizing antibodies were measured in 110 individuals with SARS-CoV-2 infection or a BNT162b2 primary series. Humoral responses and related factors were explored in a subgroup (n = 36) that received a BNT162b2 primary series followed by a mRNA-1273 booster (2BNT162b2 + 1mRNA-1273), and T-cell responses were evaluated in a subgroup of them (n = 16). For natural immunity, IgG and IgA peaked within three months, declining gradually but remaining detectable up to 283 days post-infection. Neutralizing antibody inhibition post-infection was below positive range (≥ 35%) but exceeded 97% in vaccine-induced and hybrid immunity groups. Following 2BNT162b2 + 1mRNA-1273, IgG peaked 3–4 months post-booster, gradually declining but remaining positive over 10 months, with IgA and neutralizing antibodies stable. Age and blood group were related to IgG response, while obesity and blood type to IgA response post-booster. Autoimmunity and blood type B were associated with lower neutralizing antibody inhibition. There were no differences in T-cell responses according to prior infection. These findings provide long-term insights into the immunity against SARS-CoV-2 and the immunogenicity of mRNA vaccines.

Prognostic factors for mortality, ICU, MIS-C and hospital admission due to SARS-CoV-2 in paediatric patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis (preprint)

ABSTRACT Background: There is a paucity of data on the factors associated with severe COVID-19 disease, especially in children. This systematic review and meta-analysis aim to identify the risk factors for acute adverse outcomes of COVID-19 within paediatric populations, using the recruitment setting as a proxy of initial disease severity. Methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis were performed representing published evidence from the start of the pandemic up to 14 February 2022. Our primary outcome was the identification of risk factors for adverse outcomes, stratified by recruitment setting (community, hospital). No geographical restrictions were imposed. The Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology was used to evaluate the certainty in the body of evidence for each meta-analysis. In anticipation of significant clinical and methodological heterogeneity in the meta-analyses, we fitted logistic regression models with random effects. Findings: Our review identified 47 studies involving 94,210 paediatric cases of COVID-19. Infants up to 3 months were more likely to be hospitalised than older children. Gender and ethnicity were not associated with an increased likelihood of adverse outcomes among children within the community setting. Concerning comorbidities, having at least one pre-existing disease increased the odds of hospitalisation. Concerning BMI, underweight children and severely obese were noted to have an increased likelihood of hospital admission. The presence of metabolic disorders and children with underlying cardiovascular diseases, respiratory disorders, neuromuscular disorders and neurologic conditions were also more likely to be hospitalised. Concerning underlying comorbidities, paediatric hospitalised patients with congenital/genetic disease, those obese, with malignancy, cardiovascular diseases and respiratory disease were associated with higher odds of being admitted to ICU or ventilated. Interpretation: Our findings suggest that age, male, gender, and paediatric comorbidities increased the likelihood of hospital and ICU admission. Obesity, malignancy, and respiratory and cardiovascular disorders were among the most important risk factors for hospital and ICU admission among children with COVID-19. The extent to which these factors were linked to actual severity or where the application of cautious preventive care is an area in which further research is needed.

Modeling the relative influence of socio-demographic variables on post-acute COVID-19 quality of life: an application to settings in Europe, Asia, Africa, and South America (preprint)

Long-term COVID-19 complications are a globally pervasive threat, but their plausible social drivers are often not prioritized. Here, we use data from a multinational consortium to quantify the relative contributions of social and clinical factors to differences in quality of life among participants experiencing long COVID and measure the extent to which social variables impacts can be attributed to clinical intermediates, across diverse contexts. In addition to age, neuropsychological and rheumatological comorbidities, educational attainment, employment status, and female sex were identified as important predictors of long COVID-associated quality of life days (long COVID QALDs). Furthermore, a great majority of their impacts on long COVID QALDs could not be tied to key long COVID-predicting comorbidities, such as asthma, diabetes, hypertension, psychological disorder, and obesity. In Norway, 90% (95% CI: 77%, 100%) of the effect of belonging to the highest versus lowest educational attainment quintile was not attributed to intermediate comorbidity impacts. The same was true for 86% (73%, 100%) of the protective effects of full-time employment versus all other employment status categories (excluding retirement) in the UK and 74% (46%,100%) of the protective effects of full-time employment versus all other employment status categories in a cohort of four middle-income countries (MIC). Of the effects of female sex on long COVID QALDs in Norway, UK, and the MIC cohort, 77% (46%,100%), 73% (52%, 94%), and 84% (62%, 100%) were unexplained by the clinical mediators, respectively. Our findings highlight that socio-economic proxies and sex may be as predictive of long COVID QALDs as commonly emphasized comorbidities and that broader structural determinants likely drive their impacts. Importantly, we outline a multi-method, adaptable causal machine learning approach for evaluating the isolated contributions of social disparities to long COVID quality of life experiences.

Clot Twist - D-dimer analysis of healthy adults receiving heterologous or homologous booster COVID-19 vaccine after a single prime dose of Ad26.COV2.S in a phase II randomised open-label trial, BaSiS. (preprint)

BaSiS (Booster After Sisonke Study) is a prospectively enrolled open-label trial in which healthy adults, with controlled co-morbidities and no prior thrombosis, who received a single Ad26.COV2.S prime vaccination primarily through the Sisonke phase IIIB open label implementation study in South Africa. An exploratory objective evaluated the clotting profiles of participants who were enrolled across 4 sites in South Africa and randomised 1:1:1:1 to receive one of full-dose Ad26.COV2.S, half-dose Ad26.COV2.S, full-dose Comirnaty or half-dose Comirnaty booster. D-dimer testing (INNOVANCE D-Dimer Assay), as a coagulopathy marker, was conducted pre-booster (baseline) and 2 weeks post-booster. The median age among 285 participants was 42.2 years (IQR:35.5-48.7), 235/285 (82.5%) were female, 269/285 (94.4%) were Black African. Of the 40.4% (115/285) people living with HIV (PLHIV), 79.1% (91/115) were well-controlled on antiretroviral therapy. At baseline, 39.3% (112/285) had elevated d-dimers; all asymptomatic. Females and obese participants were significantly more likely to have elevated baseline d-dimers (OR=4.17; 95% CI:1.88 to 9.26 and OR=2.64; 95% CI:1.57 to 4.43, respectively). Of 169 with normal baseline d-dimers, 29 (17.2%) became elevated 2 weeks post-booster: median increase 0.23ug/ml (IQR:0.15-0.42); those receiving full-dose Comirnaty exhibited lower risk of d-dimer elevation post vaccination, compared to other booster vaccination arms (OR:0.26; 95% CI:0.07 to 0.98). PLHIV experienced significantly higher median increases compared to HIV uninfected participants (0.43 vs 0.17, p=0.004). Elevated d-dimers in asymptomatic, low-risk adults were unexpectedly common but were not associated with thromboembolism, supporting the rationale of using d-dimers only if clinically indicated. Trial Registration: South African Clinical Trails Register number DOH-27-012022-7841.

Evaluation of Country Dietary Habits Using Machine Learning Techniques in Relation to Deaths from COVID-19 (preprint)

COVID-19 disease has affected almost every country in the world. The large number of infected people and the different mortality rates between countries has given rise to many hypotheses about the key points that make the virus so lethal in some places. In this study, the eating habits of 170 countries were evaluated in order to find correlations between these habits and mortality rates caused by COVID-19 using machine learning techniques that group the countries together according to the different distribution of fat, energy, and protein across 23 different types of food, as well as the amount ingested in kilograms. Results shown how obesity and the high consumption of fats appear in countries with the highest death rates, whereas countries with a lower rate have a higher level of cereal consumption accompanied by a lower total average intake of kilocalories.

Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on physical health among children: difference-in-differences analyses of nationwide school health checkup database (preprint)

Purpose: The COVID-19 pandemic posed tremendous challenges for children, requiring them to adapt to changes in social environments. However, the long-term effects of the pandemic on various aspects of physical health at a national level remain unclear. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, we analyzed data from nationwide health checkup records among children aged 7–15 years. The dataset comprised 3,544,146 records from 393,794 individuals who graduated from junior high school during fiscal years 2007 to 2022. Difference-indifferences (DID) analyses with multiple time periods were used to examine the impact of COVID-19 on physical health outcomes. Results: Compared with the pre-pandemic period, the COVID-19 pandemic was associated with excess increases in obesity for boys and girls, persisting over the 3 years (DID estimate, +0.42%; 95%CI, 0.23 to 0.61). Also, it was associated with excess increases in underweight (DID estimate, +0.28%; 95%CI, 0.25 to 0.32) and poor visual acuity among boys in the 3 rd year (DID estimate, +1.80%; 95%CI, 1.30 to 2.30]). There were excess reductions in dental caries (DID estimate,-1.48%; 95%CI,-2.01 to-0.95]), glucosuria (DID estimate,-0.55; 95%CI,-0.88 to-0.23), and hematuria (DID estimate,-0.43%; 95%CI,-0.73 to-0.13]) during the 3 rd year of the pandemic. Conclusions: These findings underscore the multifaceted impact of the pandemic on various health indicators for school-aged children. This information could be valuable for public health policy and pediatric healthcare planning in the post-pandemic era. 

FABP4 as a Therapeutic Host Target Controlling SARS-CoV2 Infection (preprint)

Host metabolic fitness is a critical determinant of infectious disease outcomes. In COVID-19, obesity and aging are major high-risk disease modifiers, although the underlying mechanism remains unknown. Here, we demonstrate that fatty acid binding protein 4 (FABP4), a critical regulator of metabolic dysfunction in these conditions, regulates SARS-CoV2 pathogenesis. Our study revealed that elevated FABP4 levels in COVID-19 patients strongly correlate with disease severity. In adipocytes and airway epithelial cells we found that loss of FABP4 function by genetic or pharmacological means impaired SARS-CoV2 replication and disrupted the formation of viral replication organelles. Furthermore, treatment of infected hamsters with FABP4 inhibitors alleviated lung damage and fibrosis and reduced lung viral titers. These results highlight a novel host factor critical for SARS-CoV2 infection and the therapeutic potential of FABP4-targeting agents in treating COVID-19 patients.

SARS-CoV-2 infection elucidates unique features of pregnancy-specific immunity (preprint)

Pregnancy is a risk factor for increased severity of SARS-CoV-2 and other respiratory infections. The mechanisms underlying this risk have not been well-established, partly due to a limited understanding of how pregnancy shapes immune responses. To gain insight into the role of pregnancy in modulating immune responses at steady state and upon perturbation, we collected peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC), plasma, and stool from 226 women, including 152 pregnant individuals (n = 96 with SARS-CoV-2 infection and n = 56 healthy controls) and 74 non-pregnant women (n = 55 with SARS-CoV-2 and n = 19 healthy controls). We found that SARS-CoV-2 infection was associated with altered T cell responses in pregnant compared to non-pregnant women. Differences included a lower percentage of memory T cells, a distinct clonal expansion of CD4-expressing CD8+ T cells, and the enhanced expression of T cell exhaustion markers, such as programmed cell death-1 (PD-1) and T cell immunoglobulin and mucin domain-3 (Tim-3), in pregnant women. We identified additional evidence of immune dysfunction in severely and critically ill pregnant women, including a lack of expected elevation in regulatory T cell (Treg) levels, diminished interferon responses, and profound suppression of monocyte function. Consistent with earlier data, we found maternal obesity was also associated with altered immune responses to SARS-CoV-2 infection, including enhanced production of inflammatory cytokines by T cells. Certain gut bacterial species were altered in pregnancy and upon SARS-CoV-2 infection in pregnant individuals compared to non-pregnant women. Shifts in cytokine and chemokine levels were also identified in the sera of pregnant individuals, most notably a robust increase of interleukin-27 (IL-27), a cytokine known to drive T cell exhaustion, in the pregnant uninfected control group compared to all non-pregnant groups. IL-27 levels were also significantly higher in uninfected pregnant controls compared to pregnant SARS-CoV-2-infected individuals. Using two different preclinical mouse models of inflammation-induced fetal demise and respiratory influenza viral infection, we found that enhanced IL-27 protects developing fetuses from maternal inflammation but renders adult female mice vulnerable to viral infection. These combined findings from human and murine studies reveal nuanced pregnancy-associated immune responses, suggesting mechanisms underlying the increased susceptibility of pregnant individuals to viral respiratory infections.

Comparing surveyed adults with long COVID and those with just a positive test helps put COVID into perspective (preprint)

Introduction: Among adults who test positive for COVID-19, some develop long COVID (symptoms lasting [≥]3 months), and some do not. We compared 3 groups on selected measures to help determine strategies to reduce COVID impact. Methods: Using Stata and data for 385,617 adults from the 2022 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, we compared adults reporting long COVID, those with just a positive test, and those who never tested positive, on several health status and risk factor measures plus vaccination rates (data for 178,949 adults in 29 states). Results: Prevalence of just COVID was 26.5% (95% CI 26.2-26.8) and long COVID was 7.4% (7.3-7.6). Compared with adults with just COVID those with long COVID had worse rates for 13 of 17 measures of chronic disease, disability, and poor health status, while those with just COVID had the best results for 15 of the 17 measures among all 3 groups. The 5 risk factors (obesity, diabetes, asthma, cardiovascular disease, and COPD) previously associated with COVID deaths, increased long COVID but not just COVID rates, which were highest among younger and higher income adults. Adults with long COVID had the highest rate among the 3 groups for any COVID risk factors and data from 29 states showed they had the lowest rates for [≥]3 vaccine doses of 35.6%, vs. 42.7% and 50.3% for those with just a positive test, and neither, respectively. Vaccination with [≥]3 vaccines vs. <3 reduced long COVID rates by 38%, and just COVID rates by 16%. Conclusions: Results show the seriousness of long COVID vs. just a positive test and that increasing vaccine coverage by targeting adults with risk factors shows promise for reducing COVID impact.

Maternal and perinatal outcomes associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection during pregnancy, Florida, 2020–2021: A retrospective cohort study (preprint)

Objective: To estimate risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection in pregnancy and assess adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes. Design: A population-based, retrospective cohort. Setting: Florida, USA. Population: All pregnancies with a live birth or fetal death from March 1, 2020 to April 30, 2021. Methods: COVID-19 case reports were matched to vital registries. Modified Poisson and multinomial logistic regression models were used to derive relative risk estimates. Main Outcome Measures: Infection in pregnancy, preterm birth, maternal or neonatal admission to and intensive care unit (ICU), fetal death. Results: Of 234,492 women with a live birth or fetal death during the study period, 12,976 (5.5%) were identified with COVID-19 during pregnancy. Risk factors for COVID-19 in pregnancy included Hispanic ethnicity (relative risk [RR]=1.89), Black race (RR=1.34), being unmarried (RR=1.04), and being overweight or obese pre-pregnancy (RR=1.08-1.32). COVID-19 during pregnancy was associated with preterm birth (RR=1.31), Cesarean delivery (RR=1.04), and neonatal (RR=1.17) and maternal (RR=3.10) ICU admission, but no association was found with increased risk of perinatal (RR=0.72) or fetal death (RR=0.86). Women infected during any trimester showed increased risk of preterm birth compared to women without COVID-19. Thirteen maternal deaths were identified among COVID-19 cases; of those who died, 11 were obese. The death rate was 20.53 per 10,000 among obese and 1.22 per 10,000 among non-obese gravida with COVID-19 during pregnancy (RR=16.88, P=0.001). Conclusions: Obesity is a risk factor for SARS-CoV-2 infection in pregnancy and for more severe COVID-19 illness among pregnant women. SARS-CoV-2 infection is associated with preterm birth.

An ecological study of COVID-19 outcomes among Florida counties (preprint)

BackgroundDuring the COVID-19 pandemic, Florida reported some of the highest number of cases and deaths in the US; however, county-level variation in COVID-19 outcomes has not been comprehensively investigated. The present ecological study aimed to assess corelates of COVID-19 outcomes among Florida counties that explain variation in case rates, mortality rates, and case fatality rates (CFR) across pandemic waves. MethodWe obtained county-level administrative data and COVID-19 case reports from public repositories. We tested spatial autocorrelation to assess geographic clustering in COVID-19 outcomes: case rate, mortality rate, and CFR. Stepwise linear regression was employed to test the association between case, death, and CFR and 18 demographic, socioeconomic, and health-related county-level predictors. ResultsWe found mortality rate and CFR were significantly higher in rural counties compared to urban counties, among which significant differences in vaccination coverage was also observed. Multivariate analysis found that the percentage of the population aged over 65 years, the percentage of the obese people, and the percentage of rural population were significant predictors of COVID-19 case rate. Median age, vaccination coverage, percentage of people who smoke, and percentage of the population with diabetes were significant influencing factors for CFR. Importantly, vaccination coverage was significantly associated with a reduction in case rate (R = - 0.26, p = 0.03) and mortality (R = -0.51, p < 0.001). Last, we found that spatial dependencies play a role in explaining variations in COVID-19 CFR among Florida counties. ConclusionOur findings emphasize the need for targeted, equitable public health strategies to reduce disparities and enhance population resilience during public health crises. We further inform future spatial-epidemiological analyses and present actionable data for policies related to preparedness and response to current and future epidemics in Florida and elsewhere.

Recreational Physical Activity Online Decrease Obesity on School Children: A Pilot Study (preprint)

Objective To determine the effects of recreational physical activity mediated by technology on the body composition of six- to nine-year-old children. Childhood obesity is a public health problem associated with the development of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and which was exacerbated during the COVID-19 lockdowns, given the restrictions on going to school and participating in group games, among others.Methods A quasi-experimental intervention study included 27 schoolchildren (12 boys and 15 girls) with an average age of 6 from an educational establishment during who received three 60-minute online sessions of recreational physical activity per week for 20 weeks.Results Medical tests were carried out prior to the intervention, which found that 13.3% of girls were overweight and 40% obese, while 6.7% of boys were overweight and 41.6% obese. After the interventions, there was an average weight reduction of 1.7 kg (p = 0.16), while there were also reductions in the proportion of the participants suffering from overweight and obesity, body fat percentage (0.9 percentage points; p = 0.4) and abdominal circumference (1.01 cm; p = 0.63).Conclusion The interventions mediated by technology had a positive impact on anthropometric measurements, promoting healthy practices and physical exercise during lockdown.